Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.036971 0.040355 0.043779 0.047496 0.051411 0.055405 0.059783
2025-09-07 0.032495 0.037562 0.042870 0.048821 0.055280 0.062056 0.069676
2025-09-14 0.028764 0.035024 0.041788 0.049582 0.058258 0.067564 0.078248
2025-09-21 0.025512 0.032615 0.040511 0.049836 0.060445 0.072045 0.085590
2025-09-28 0.023563 0.031440 0.040417 0.051239 0.063774 0.077691 0.094163
2025-10-05 0.020814 0.029067 0.038719 0.050603 0.064619 0.080415 0.099357
2025-10-12 0.018842 0.027448 0.037751 0.050681 0.066170 0.083853 0.105294
2025-10-19 0.017418 0.026378 0.037338 0.051322 0.068305 0.087910 0.111905
2025-10-26 0.016356 0.025674 0.037296 0.052348 0.070851 0.092416 0.119024
2025-11-02 0.014152 0.023313 0.035038 0.050522 0.069849 0.092652 0.121069
2025-11-09 0.012776 0.021956 0.033973 0.050103 0.070496 0.094795 0.125325
2025-11-16 0.011571 0.020745 0.033020 0.049761 0.071183 0.096947 0.129562
2025-11-23 0.011096 0.020561 0.033442 0.051222 0.074178 0.101980 0.137370
2025-11-30 0.010488 0.020142 0.033520 0.052219 0.076591 0.106317 0.144372
2025-12-07 0.009798 0.019550 0.033323 0.052828 0.078497 0.110030 0.150631
2025-12-14 0.009029 0.018776 0.032830 0.053006 0.079825 0.113018 0.156004
2025-12-21 0.008702 0.018670 0.033262 0.054424 0.082757 0.118010 0.163856
2025-12-28 0.007789 0.017554 0.032190 0.053743 0.082918 0.119508 0.167389
2026-01-04 0.007163 0.016857 0.031688 0.053815 0.084042 0.122205 0.172399
2026-01-11 0.006742 0.016473 0.031624 0.054477 0.085936 0.125871 0.178617
2026-01-18 0.006451 0.016292 0.031851 0.055542 0.088365 0.130226 0.185710
2026-01-25 0.005484 0.014820 0.030038 0.053643 0.086762 0.129378 0.186245
2026-02-01 0.004930 0.014049 0.029268 0.053207 0.087111 0.131021 0.189905